Can we predict stillbirth? Well, yes... sort of
Until now, there has been no quantitative risk assessment tool for stillbirth. We developed a stillbirth prediction model that takes risk factors - like sociodemographics, chronic disease, obstetric history and current pregnancy complications - and uses them to predict stillbirth. If we are willing to allow 10% false positives, our model indicates that we can predict more than half of all stillbirths. There is still a huge amount of work to do. It is currently being evaluated in a clinical setting in Sydney. We also continue to make further improvements. The media release is here.
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